The June 2 press release issued by leaders at the Charlotte-based Premier healthcare alliance focused, not surprisingly, particularly strongly on levels of satisfaction and dissatisfaction with electronic health record (EHR) investments among hospital, medical group, and integrated health system leaders across the U.S. Indeed, the press release’s headline was “Providers increasingly dissatisfied with EHRs despite heavy investments, according to Premier, Inc. c-suite survey.” And we covered that press release and wrote about its implications.
But among the diverse findings in the Premier provider survey were also some concerning results regarding shortages of physicians and nurses. As the June 2 press release noted, “The survey also shows that three of four providers are experiencing physician or nurse shortages, with 42 percent experiencing shortages in more than one practice area. Among those experiencing shortages: almost four of five executives cited primary care physician shortages; 47 percent of respondents cited specialty physician shortages; 28 percent of respondents [cited] nurse shortages.”
Nurse shortages are nothing new, and indeed, previous nationwide surveys on that subject have found even more sever nurse shortages in past years. But the combination of ongoing nurse shortages and intensifying physician shortages, really is a combined trend that everyone needs to reflect on.
A number of factors are only going to intensify these clinician shortages, including, but not limited to:
- The aging of the nurse population in the U.S.
- The increasing clinical intensity of hospital care delivery, as health insurers push patients out of inpatient status as quickly as possible, leaving those patients who remain inpatients, more fragile than ever before
- The beginnings of an influx of newly insured patients, thanks to the passage of the Affordable Care Act, and including Medicaid program expansions in a number of states
- Emerging trends among practicing physicians, particularly among younger physicians choosing lifestyle considerations over maximizing billable patient care time
- The need for more clinicians to support population health management and care management work within accountable care organizations, patient-centered medical homes, and other care delivery and financing vehicles
- The trend involving both physicians and nurses leaving direct patient care to work in management, consulting, informatics, and other emerging areas
What’s more, it’s not just provider executives who are anticipating clinician shortages. As the American Association of Colleges of Nursing (AACN) noted earlier this year, “According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Employment Projections 2012-2022 released in December 2013, Registered Nursing (RN) is listed among the top occupations in terms of job growth through 2022. The RN workforce is expected to grow from 2.71 million in 2012 to 3.24 million in 2022, an increase of 526,800 or 19%. The Bureau also projects the need for 525,000 replacements nurses in the workforce bringing the total number of job openings for nurses due to growth and replacements to 1.05 million by 2022. Futher, the AACN noted, “According to the ‘United States Registered Nurse Workforce Report Card and Shortage Forecast’ published in the January 2012 issue of the American Journal of Medical Quality, a shortage of registered nurses is projected to spread across the country between 2009 and 2030.”