Study: Community Demographics—Not Quality of Care—Drive Hospital Readmissions

April 21, 2014
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Rather than a hospital’s quality of care, its geographic location is the primary driving factor behind readmissions, according to a recent study in Health Services Research, part of the Center for Advancing Health.

The study found that nearly 60 percent of the variation in hospital readmission rates appears to be associated with where the hospital is located, rather than on the hospital's performance. "The biggest surprise was how much affect the county or the community had on readmission rates," Jeph Herrin, Ph.D., senior statistician with Health Research and Educational Trust in Chicago and lead author on the study, said in a news release accompanying the study. "Hospitals in the same area had similar readmission rates as others in the area," he said. This means that the hospital may not have as much control over its readmission rates as previously thought, the study concluded.

The federal Medicare program has linked hospital reimbursements to risk-standardized rates of readmission within 30 days of discharge for patients with certain conditions, such as acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, or pneumonia. High readmission rates trigger reductions in Medicare reimbursement.

Herrin and his colleagues matched data on hospital readmissions collected by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) with information about the hospitals and the counties where they are located. Data was collected for 4,073 hospitals in 2,254 counties and covered the period from July 2007 to June 2010. Information about hospitals included ownership type, teaching status, number of beds, and percentage of patients covered by Medicaid. Demographic information about counties included population, the number of Medicare beneficiaries, the number of general practitioners and specialists, and data on poverty and education levels.

Analysis showed that 58 percent of the variation in 30-day readmission rates was at the county level, before any information about the type of hospital or county was taken into account. In other words, individual hospital performance may account for only 42 percent of the variation in readmission rates. When demographic information was analyzed, having more general practitioners and more nursing homes per capita in a county was associated with lower readmission rates. 

When all the information was analyzed together, characteristics of the location of the hospital account for 47.5 percent of the variation in readmission rates between hospitals.  One conclusion of the study is that hospital readmission rates may need to be addressed with community-based programs in addition to improvements within the hospital, said Herrin.

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